Well, I guess the warm weather meltwater, and rain has changed the plans of Putin.
As the RAND rapport 2019 shows the reason that NATO can’t stop a Russian armored attack on the Baltic states in the first instance even with tactical nuclear weapons is that the tanks can and thus will take a spread-out formation.
The areas of potential mud planes are now too serious for such formations.
The timeframe that was forced upon Putin by Xi did not want it to start before the end of the Olympics.
He has now switched to a cleaver political-legal ploy.
Like the mob, he lets us ourselves come to the conclusion that we’ve been had up until now. Playing it this way he can indeed declare war if the EU and NATO are not forthcoming in what he already has.
And the longer it takes the more he will grab.
He contrary to NATO is prepared to go nuclear over this issue.
In order not to be seen as weak NATO must guarantee the borders of a smaller Ukraine and force a correct legal system on Putin.
Well, our own system is also corrupt. Only less so.
So we including the EU and NATO must have an oracle senate to remedy this.
Ultimately Russia and Ukraine should join NATO and the new EU. With a modern monarch Tsar Putin. The only way out.
Yet probably the EU and NATO will blunder us into a nuclear war and ultimately nuclear winter.
Oh, and BTW for an attack on Ukraine, a spread-out formation isn’t required.
Ukraine had a contract with the US and not with NATO for support after relinquishing her nukes. Well the US is morally bankrupt.
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