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    It might be that the weather of early spring prevents Putin’s plans from not getting stuck in the mud. Even though the mud as such doesn’t have to fully prevent his ultimate plan. He only needs the pretext to prove that he indeed is going to nuke. Of course, a failed military operation might invoke a military coup. So then he’ll have to drag on negotiations until the mud dries. This is easy due to the NATO build-up he can say that he needs to protect Belarus.


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